New Hampshire has set January 8th as its date for the presidential primary vote. This puts it second chronologically behind Iowa’s nominating vote that will be held on January 3rd, but before Michigan’s vote on January 15th.
Ron Paul supporters were hoping for a primary election kick-off in New Hampshire where Paul has stronger support and a better likelihood of winning and building momentum.
The Iowa independent says that “Paul’s support comes from the least likely corners of Iowa, making it very difficult to measure with ‘likely voter’ polls. Cynics expect his unlikely coalition to stay home on caucus night, and they might; but if the depth of a candidate’s support is one measure of his likely success in the caucuses, Paul has the rest of the field beat.”
The same article seems to be giving Paul the wildcard win in Iowa, although listing Paul as 4th in their “power rankings” of the likely winners in the Iowa Caucus. The article goes on to note that “while Huckabee, Romney, Giuliani, former Sen. Fred Thompson, and Sen. John McCain appear to swap supporters every few weeks, Paul’s fans remain squarely in his corner. And there is the oft-ignored fact that polls show that a majority of likely GOP caucus-goers favor withdrawal from Iraq within six months, which many analysts are hard-pressed to explain.”
If the Paul supporters continue to increase in numbers (as is the current trend) and make a strong showing at the Caucus, Ron Paul may pull off an Iowa miracle.
From Ron Paul’s website:
“. . .The three main thrusts of the Ron Paul Revolution here in Iowa are voting in the caucus, calling precincts to find Ron Paul supporters and becoming a delegate to the county conventions. These are the actions necessary to win Iowa.”
View RonPaul2008.com for more details about the campaign strategy in Iowa.